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Nova Ltd. (NVMI)

Overvalued
TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsIsrael

Fundamental

58

Price

$385.20

Market Cap

$12.25B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for dimensional, films, and materials and chemical metrology measurements for process control for various semiconductor manufacturing process steps, such as lithography, Etch, chemical mechanical planarization, deposition, electrochemical plating, and advanced packaging. It serves various sectors of the integrated circuit manufacturing industry, including logic, foundry, memory, and packaging sectors, as well as process equipment manufacturers. Nova Ltd. was formerly known as Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. and changed its name to Nova Ltd. in July 2021. Nova Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 19, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 53.3Score: 77Market cap: $244.47B

KLA is the dominant supplier of semiconductor process-control equipment and competes head-on with Nova for the metrology budget of the same leading-edge logic and memory fabs.

P/E: 212.7Score: 59Market cap: $7.25B

Camtek, also Israeli, sells inspection and 3D metrology systems to the same customers and overlaps with Nova above all in advanced-packaging measurement.

P/E: 44.2Score: 79Market cap: $376.36B

Applied Materials builds its own in-situ sensors and metrology products alongside its deposition and etch tools, so it takes measurement work inside the fab that would otherwise go to Nova.

P/E: 59.1Score: 71Market cap: $661.61B

ASML pairs its lithography scanners with its own overlay and CD metrology platforms, competing with Nova for the measurement steps that surround the lithography process.

P/E: 57.0Score: 78Market cap: $384.36B

Lam Research embeds sensing and metrology into its etch and deposition platforms, so its in-line measurement offering competes with Nova's integrated metrology at the same process steps.

Onto Innovation Inc.ONTO

Nova names Onto Innovation first among its competitors: both sell stand-alone and integrated optical metrology and process-control systems to the same wafer fabs, covering critical dimension, thin-film and advanced-packaging measurement.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$937M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$270M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$113M

Total Equity

$1.47B

Total Liabilities

$803M

Current Ratio

1.55

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.71

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$318.92

Current Price

$385.20

Margin of Safety

-20.8%

Fair Value Range

$207.30 - $430.54

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$532.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$80.67
Earnings multiple (P/E):$233.18
Graham growth formula:$378.01
Earnings power value (EPV):$23.15
Justified P/B:$61.21
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$85.76
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (13B / 2H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+2.02%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

47.85

ROE

21.1%

P/B Ratio

8.36

P/FCF

108.55

Gross Margin

57.1%

ROIC

9.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

9.8%

WACC

13.6%

ROIC − WACC

-3.9 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (12)

  • Price CAGR 39.45%
  • ROIC 9.8%
  • Gross Margin 57.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 20.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 20.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.82
  • Net Margin Trend 29.4% vs 27.3%

Failed (7)

  • P/FCF 108.55
  • P/B Ratio 8.36
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.9%
  • PEG Ratio 2.02
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Unavailable (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

0.82

Moderate: some gap between profits and cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Eitan OppenhaimExecutive Chairman of the Board59
Mr. Gabriel WaismanPresident & CEO54
Mr. Gabi SharonChief Operating Officer63
Dr. Shay WolflingChief Technology Officer53
Mr. Guy KiznerChief Financial Officer41
Mr. C. Thomas LarsonVice President of Corporate Development-
Ms. Orly Ben-Hamu-LahavChief Marketing & Strategy Officer-
Ms. Sharon DayanChief Human Resources Officer52
Mr. Zohar GilChief Business Officer58
Mr. Adrian S. WilsonPresident of Nova Measuring Instruments, Inc & GM of Material Metrology Division53

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for NVMI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Nova Stock Up 80% in a Year, so What Should Investors Know About This $194 Million Sale?

    Nova Ltd., a key provider of metrology and process control solutions to semiconductor manufacturers worldwide, has seen its stock surge by 80% over the past year. This significant appreciation has brought a recent $194 million sale into focus for investors. While specific details regarding the nature of this transaction remain undisclosed, the market is keen to understand its potential implications for a company pivotal in advanced chip production. Analysts advise closely monitoring further developments to assess whether this sale represents a strategic opportunity or a significant shift for the company.

via Markets Gazette