Union Pacific Corp (UNP)
Fair ValueFundamental
68
Price
$272.13
Market Cap
$162.84B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$25.41B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$7.33B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$5.50B
Total Equity
$18.47B
Total Liabilities
$51.23B
Current Ratio
0.99
Interest Coverage
7.92
Debt/EBITDA
2.42
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$261.59
Current Price
$272.13
Margin of Safety
-4.0%
Fair Value Range
$205.18 - $318.01
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
22.02
ROE
38.7%
P/B Ratio
7.82
P/FCF
24.86
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
12.3%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.3%
WACC
8.3%
ROIC − WACC
+3.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 7.14%
- Price CAGR 10.62%
- ROIC 12.2%
- P/FCF 24.86
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 40.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 38.6%
- Analyst Consensus 68% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
- Share Dilution -2.1%
- Net Margin Trend 28.8% vs 28.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (7)
- P/B Ratio 7.82
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 4.6%
- Earnings Surprise avg 1.5%
- PEG Ratio 2.54
Unavailable (2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Vincenzo James Vena | CEO & Director | 66 |
| Ms. Jennifer L. Hamann | Executive VP & CFO | 57 |
| Mr. Rahul Jalali | Executive VP & Chief Information Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Kenny G. Rocker | Executive Vice President of Marketing & Sales | 53 |
| Ms. Elizabeth F. Whited | Advisor | 59 |
| Mr. Eric J. Gehringer | Executive Vice President of Operations | 46 |
| Ms. Carrie J. Powers | VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 54 |
| Ms. Rebecca B. Gregory | Senior Vice President of Administration | - |
| Kate Ottoson | Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Christina B. Conlin | Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 52 |
Audit Risk
8
Board Risk
1
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-06
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-23
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-07-23
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for UNP, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/10/2026NEUTRALHere's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Union Pacific Stock In The Last 20 Years
An analysis of Union Pacific Corporation's stock performance over the past two decades reveals a significant historical return for investors. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title suggests a substantial gain, implying consistent operational success and shareholder value creation. This historical data, though backward-looking, provides context for current investors regarding the company's long-term trajectory and its ability to navigate market cycles. Further examination of the underlying drivers of this performance would be necessary for a complete investment thesis.
- 6/4/2026NEUTRALUnion Pacific CEO responds to Trump idea for U.S. stake in $71.5 billion railroad mega merger: ‘We do not need anybody’s help to do this’
Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena has publicly stated that the company does not require government assistance for its proposed merger with Norfolk Southern, dismissing the idea of a 15% U.S. government stake. Vena indicated no direct discussions with former President Trump on this matter. The merger, valued at approximately $71.5 billion, is proceeding under the company's own strategic direction. This statement aims to reassure investors about the merger's independence and management's control over the process, suggesting no immediate external interference is anticipated.
- 5/29/2026NEUTRALTrump floated the idea of a 15% government stake in a massive railroad merger
Former President Trump reportedly suggested a 15% government equity stake in a potential major railroad merger. While no specific companies were named, the ongoing acquisition of Norfolk Southern by Union Pacific is the only significant railroad deal currently in progress. This proposal, if enacted, could introduce substantial government influence and potential dilution for existing shareholders in the merged entity. Investors in the railroad sector will monitor any developments closely, as such a move could alter the financial structure and operational independence of major rail operators.
- 5/28/2026NEGATIVEUnion Pacific, Norfolk Tumble as Regulator Pauses Merger Review
Union Pacific Corporation and Norfolk Southern Corporation shares experienced significant declines, falling over 10% following the Surface Transportation Board's (STB) decision to pause its review of their proposed $72 billion merger. This unexpected halt introduces considerable uncertainty regarding the deal's timeline and ultimate approval, potentially jeopardizing the largest-ever rail merger. Investors are reacting to the increased regulatory hurdle and the possibility of prolonged delays or even a failed transaction, impacting the near-term outlook for both companies.
via Markets Gazette