Twilio Inc (TWLO)
OvervaluedFundamental
62
Price
$292.46
Market Cap
$44.07B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.57B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$1.15B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$7.82B
Total Liabilities
$1.95B
Current Ratio
4.62
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.02
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$178.11
Current Price
$292.46
Margin of Safety
-64.2%
Fair Value Range
$115.77 - $240.45
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
40.62
ROE
0.4%
P/B Ratio
5.00
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
48.5%
ROIC
2.3%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
2.3%
WACC
12.4%
ROIC − WACC
-10.1 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 22.93%
- Gross Margin 48.5%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 5.2%
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 14.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 23.5%
- Analyst Consensus 84% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 10.8%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.92
- Share Dilution -2.8%
- Net Margin Trend 20.6% vs 0.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (5)
- ROIC 2.3%
- P/B Ratio 5.00
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (6)
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Moderate: some gap between profits and cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Khozema Zoher Shipchandler | CEO & Director | 51 |
| Ms. Aidan Viggiano | Chief Financial Officer | 45 |
| Mr. Thomas Wyatt | Chief Operating Officer | - |
| Ms. Inbal Shani | Chief Product & Technology Officer | - |
| Ms. Christy Lake | Chief Administrative Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Bryan Vaniman | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury | 49 |
| Mr. Chris Koehler | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Amy Holcroft | Chief Privacy Officer | - |
| Juliana Chen | Corporate Secretary | - |
| Ms. Robin Grochol | Vice President of Product, Data, Security & Identity, | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
3
Compensation Risk
4
Shareholder Rights Risk
5
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-24
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-07
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-06
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for TWLO, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/27/2026POSITIVETwilio Gains Analyst Backing As High-Margin Voice, Email Eclipse Legacy Messaging
Bank of America has upgraded Twilio (TWLO) to a 'Buy' rating, setting a new price target of $235, implying a 24% upside potential. This upgrade is underpinned by the company's strategic shift towards high-margin voice and email services, which are increasingly eclipsing its legacy messaging business. A significant factor is the company's impressive 85% margin on email services and a substantial $42 billion contract backlog. Analysts believe these factors are pivotal for Twilio's AI cloud turnaround, projecting strong performance into 2026. Investors are likely to view this as a strong signal of renewed growth and profitability.
- 5/4/2026POSITIVEHow Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is turning the company around and beating SaaSpocalypse fears
Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is spearheading a significant turnaround, assuaging fears of a 'SaaSpocalypse'. The company's strategic shifts and operational efficiencies are reportedly yielding positive results, indicating a renewed focus on profitability and sustainable growth. This narrative suggests that Twilio is successfully navigating market challenges and demonstrating resilience. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, potentially leading to increased confidence in the company's future performance and stock valuation.
- 5/1/2026POSITIVETwilio’s stock is soaring. The software group says its AI-voice tool is seeing ‘unprecedented demand.’
Twilio Inc. shares surged approximately 23% following the company's announcement of 'unprecedented demand' for its AI-powered voice tool. This significant uptick provides a much-needed boost to the software sector, which has recently faced headwinds due to broader concerns surrounding artificial intelligence development and adoption. The strong performance suggests that Twilio's specific AI application is resonating with the market, potentially signaling a positive shift in investor sentiment towards AI-driven solutions within the tech industry. Investors will be watching to see if this momentum can be sustained and if other companies can replicate Twilio's success.
via Markets Gazette