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SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL)

Overvalued
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

50

Price

$20.36

Market Cap

$11.62B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance; and address various types of systems and identities, including data and applications, employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities, as well as enable smarter access decisions, improve business processes, and provide deeper understanding of identity and access. The company offers Identity Security Cloud, a cloud-based identity security solution to discover, manage, and secure all enterprise identity types, as well as the data and cloud infrastructure; and IdentityIQ, a customer-hosted identity security solution. It also provides SailPoint platform, a security platform engineered to unify identity, data, and security intelligence in real time. It serves financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, and healthcare, as well as government agencies and public universities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.17B

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Net Income

$-197M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$65M

Total Equity

$6.85B

Total Liabilities

$751M

Current Ratio

1.23

Interest Coverage

203.80

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$12.78

Current Price

$20.36

Margin of Safety

-59.3%

Fair Value Range

$8.31 - $17.26

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$21.12
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$1.66
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):Not enough data to compute it
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$10.47
Analyst Consensus:Buy (24B / 6H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+10.84%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-3.9%

P/B Ratio

1.69

P/FCF

59.63

Gross Margin

66.2%

ROIC

-2.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-2.5%

WACC

11.8%

ROIC − WACC

-14.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 5.84%
  • Gross Margin 66.2%
  • P/B Ratio 1.69
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.1%
  • Net Margin Trend -16.9% vs -34.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (8)

  • ROIC -2.5%
  • P/FCF 59.63
  • Operating Margin -18.9%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -2.9%
  • Share Dilution 1944.2%

Unavailable (5)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

1944.2%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Mark D. McClain TTEEFounder, CEO & Director63
Mr. Matthew MillsPresident67
Mr. Brian Carolan CPAChief Financial Officer54
Mr. Christopher G. SchmittExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary52
Ms. Abby PayneChief People Officer48
Ms. Mitra RezvanChief Accounting Officer46
Mr. Chandrasekar GnanasambandamExecutive VP of Product and CTO52
Ms. Sreeveni KancharlaChief Information Officer-
Mr. Scott SchmitzSenior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Samantha PersonSenior Manager of Corporate Communications-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-19

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-09-10

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-09

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for SAIL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/12/2026NEGATIVE
    This Sailpoint Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 3 Downgrades For Friday

    Analysts have downgraded SailPoint Technologies Holdings, Inc. (SAIL) and Adobe Inc. (ADBE), signaling a shift in sentiment for these software companies. The specific reasons for the downgrades and revised price targets were not detailed in the provided snippet, but such actions typically reflect concerns about future growth prospects, competitive pressures, or macroeconomic headwinds impacting the software sector. Investors should monitor the detailed analyst reports for specific insights into the rationale behind these rating changes, as they may indicate potential headwinds for the affected companies.

  • 6/10/2026NEGATIVE
    SailPoint Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q1 Results

    Despite SailPoint (SAIL) reporting upbeat Q1 results, the company's stock experienced a 4.1% decline, closing at $15.02. While analysts have responded by boosting their price targets, the forward-looking guidance suggests a slowdown in growth for the upcoming second quarter. This divergence between past performance and future expectations, coupled with the immediate market reaction, indicates potential investor caution regarding SailPoint's near-term trajectory and growth sustainability.

  • 3/19/2026NEUTRAL
    SailPoint Posts Q4 Beat, FY27 ARR Outlook Falls Short Of Expectations

    SailPoint Technologies Holdings Inc. announced Q4 financial results that surpassed analyst expectations, indicating strong operational performance in the latest quarter. However, the company's forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2027 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) fell slightly short of consensus estimates. This mixed outlook, coupled with a price target reduction to $18 by analysts, suggests a cautious sentiment among investors. While the beat in current quarter earnings is positive, the subdued long-term outlook may temper immediate upside potential for the stock.

via Markets Gazette