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Saia, Inc. (SAIA)

Overvalued
IndustrialsTruckingUnited States

Fundamental

67

Price

$333.74

Market Cap

$8.88B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Saia, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. It also offers other value-added services, including brokered truckload, expedited transportation, and other logistics services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 213 owned and leased terminals; and owned approximately 7,700 tractors and 26,500 trailers. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2002. Saia, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.39B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$278M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$27M

Total Equity

$2.58B

Total Liabilities

$905M

Current Ratio

1.58

Interest Coverage

31.12

Debt/EBITDA

0.45

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$259.68

Current Price

$333.74

Margin of Safety

-28.5%

Fair Value Range

$168.79 - $350.57

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$434.38
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$64.01
Earnings multiple (P/E):$268.74
Graham growth formula:$311.98
Earnings power value (EPV):$68.39
Justified P/B:$57.73
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$302.07
Mid-cycle earnings:$203.50
Revenue multiple:$359.53
Analyst Consensus:Buy (18B / 8H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+1.85%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

32.21

ROE

9.9%

P/B Ratio

3.26

P/FCF

34.88

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

8.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.8%

WACC

15.8%

ROIC − WACC

-7.0 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 22.79%
  • ROIC 8.8%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 11.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 10.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.18
  • Share Dilution -0.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (7)

  • P/FCF 34.88
  • P/B Ratio 3.26
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 2.52
  • Net Margin Trend 8.2% vs 9.0%

Unavailable (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.18

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Frederick J. Holzgrefe IIIPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Matthew J. BattehExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary35
Mr. Patrick D. SugarExecutive Vice President of Operations37
Mr. Anthony R. NorwoodExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer58
Mr. Raymond R. RamuExecutive VP & Chief Customer Officer56
Ms. Kelly W. BentonVP & Chief Accounting Officer49
Mr. Tarak PatelExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Douglas L. Col C.F.A.Advisor60

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-24

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-30

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-03

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for SAIA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for SAIA.