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Philip Morris International Inc (PM)

Fair Value
Consumer DefensiveTobaccoUnited States

Fundamental

74

Price

$190.82

Market Cap

$302.00B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$42.55B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$10.87B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$10.66B

Total Equity

$-9.99B

Total Liabilities

$77.21B

Current Ratio

0.98

Interest Coverage

9.38

Debt/EBITDA

2.91

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$172.27

Current Price

$190.82

Margin of Safety

-10.8%

Fair Value Range

$140.86 - $203.69

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$208.13
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$174.96
Earnings multiple (P/E):$154.24
Graham growth formula:$145.50
Earnings power value (EPV):$101.67
Justified P/B:$18.96
Dividend discount (Gordon):$144.13
P/FFO, funds from operations:$136.98
Mid-cycle earnings:$149.98
Revenue multiple:$32.31
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (20B / 7H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+4.38%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

27.46

ROE

-113.5%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

23.38

Gross Margin

67.5%

ROIC

30.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

30.4%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

+23.2 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.31%
  • Price CAGR 7.64%
  • ROIC 30.4%
  • Gross Margin 67.5%
  • P/FCF 23.38
  • Operating Margin 37.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 575.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 74% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.31
  • Share Dilution 0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 25.6% vs 21.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (4)

  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.2%
  • PEG Ratio 3.92

Unavailable (4)

  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.31

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.1%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Jacek OlczakGroup CEO & Director60
Mr. Massimo AndolinaGroup Chief Financial Officer56
Mr. Frederic de WildeCEO of PMI International58
Ms. Stacey KennedyCEO of PMI U.S.52
Mr. Emmanuel BabeauStrategic Advisor58
Mr. Scott CouttsChief Global Operations Officer-
Mr. Michael VoegeleChief Digital & Information Officer51
Mr. James R. BushnellVice President of Investor Relations & Financial Communications-
Mr. Yann GuerinGroup Chief Legal Officer48
Dr. Moira GilchristChief Communications Officer-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-06

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-24

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-18

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 21d agoPOSITIVE
    Philip Morris CEO Is ‘Optimistic’ About Zyn Potential

    Philip Morris International CEO Jacek Olczak expressed optimism regarding the growth potential of Zyn, a nicotine pouch product. He highlighted strong demand and discussed the company's year-end market share targets for Zyn. The potential introduction of larger cans, containing 15 to 20 pouches, was also explored as a strategy to enhance revenue and profit margins. This positive outlook on Zyn's performance and strategic expansion could signal continued growth for Philip Morris International, potentially influencing investor sentiment positively.

  • 6/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Philip Morris Cuts Outlook on $500 Million Canada Writedown

    Philip Morris International Inc. has revised its full-year profit forecast downwards, citing a substantial $500 million writedown on its investment in its Canadian affiliate. This significant impairment charge indicates potential underperformance or strategic challenges within its Canadian operations. Investors will be closely monitoring the company's ability to navigate these issues and recover profitability. The writedown raises concerns about the company's international segment performance and could lead to a reassessment of its growth trajectory and risk factors.

  • 4/22/2026POSITIVE
    What's Going On With Philip Morris Stock Today?

    Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) shares surged following a robust earnings report that surpassed analyst expectations. The company's performance was primarily fueled by significant growth in its smoke-free product category, which continues to offset challenges elsewhere. Despite this strong quarterly showing, Philip Morris has slightly lowered its full-year earnings guidance, a move that may temper some of the immediate enthusiasm. However, the core strength in its next-generation products signals a successful transition strategy, offering a positive outlook for long-term investors focused on the company's evolving portfolio.

  • 4/1/2026NEGATIVE
    Philip Morris Stock Falls As Zyn Delays Threaten Major Growth Engine

    Philip Morris International (PM) saw its stock price decline following reports that the FDA's expedited review process for new nicotine pouch applications has been delayed. This slowdown directly impacts the growth trajectory of Zyn, a key product for the company's future revenue streams. The delay raises concerns about the pace of market expansion and regulatory hurdles, potentially affecting investor confidence in PM's ability to capitalize on the burgeoning oral nicotine market. Investors are closely watching for further updates on the regulatory timeline and its impact on Zyn's sales projections.

  • 3/8/2026POSITIVE
    Philip Morris CEO Says Cigarettes Belong in a Museum as Zyn and IQOS Surge

    Philip Morris International is accelerating its transition from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free alternatives like IQOS and Zyn, a strategic shift aimed at reducing harm by eliminating combustion. The company's CEO suggests cigarettes should eventually be phased out. This pivot is driven by the surging popularity of nicotine pouches and heated tobacco products. While public health experts raise concerns about long-term effects and persistent addiction risks, the company's focus on innovation and market adaptation in a heavily regulated industry signals a potentially strong future performance for investors.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Philip Morris Intl 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    A retrospective analysis of an investment in Philip Morris International offers crucial insights for long-term investors. While the headline doesn't provide specific details on the exact value of $100 invested five years ago, the significance of such studies lies in their ability to assess a company's historical performance. For investors, understanding how a stock has performed over time, including dividends and capital appreciation, is fundamental for shaping future expectations and refining portfolio strategies. Philip Morris, a tobacco giant with a growing emphasis on smoke-free products, represents an interesting case of market transition. Historical analysis helps contextualize the company's resilience and adaptability in the face of regulatory challenges and changing consumer habits, providing a basis for informed decisions.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Inside a $280 billion tobacco giant’s push to turn smokers into smoke-free customers

    Philip Morris International, the $280 billion tobacco giant, is charting an ambitious course towards a smoke-free future. The company's core strategy involves transitioning traditional cigarette smokers to smoke-free product alternatives, a critical move to adapt to an evolving regulatory and health landscape. This strategic pivot is considered vital for the company's long-term sustainability and growth, positioning it to capitalize on emerging trends within the industry. Investors should closely monitor the effectiveness of this transition, as success in the reduced-risk product market could unlock significant future value for the company.

via Markets Gazette