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Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY)

Fair Value
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fundamental

31

Price

$83.00

Market Cap

$5.05B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Mercury Systems, Inc., engages in the aerospace and defense electronics industry. The company manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for defense prime contractors, original equipment manufacturers, government, and commercial aerospace companies. It offers components, including power amplifiers and limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, equalizers, digital and analog converters, chips, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and memory and storage devices; modules and sub-assemblies, such as embedded processing boards, switched fabrics and boards, digital receivers, multi-chip modules, integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies, tuners, and transceivers, as well as graphics and video; and integrated subsystems. The company also designs, develops, and manufactures digital radio frequency memory units for various modern electronic warfare applications; radar environment simulation and test systems for defense and intelligence applications; and signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for small UAV platforms, as well as onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery. It operates in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Mercury Systems, Inc. in November 2012. Mercury Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$984M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/3/2026)

Net Income

$-30M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/3/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$68M

Total Equity

$1.50B

Total Liabilities

$825M

Current Ratio

2.96

Interest Coverage

0.01

Debt/EBITDA

6.89

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$71.70

Current Price

$83.00

Margin of Safety

-15.8%

Fair Value Range

$46.60 - $96.79

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$115.70
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$36.91
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):$0.04
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$11.44
Mid-cycle earnings:$30.78
Revenue multiple:$46.87
Analyst Consensus:Buy (12B / 4H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-5.30%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-2.0%

P/B Ratio

3.33

P/FCF

73.31

Gross Margin

28.6%

ROIC

0.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.0%

WACC

9.5%

ROIC − WACC

-9.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (9)

  • Price CAGR 10.60%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Analyst Consensus 71% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 153.7%
  • Share Dilution 1.8%
  • Net Margin Trend -3.0% vs -4.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 0.0%
  • Gross Margin 28.6%
  • P/FCF 73.31
  • P/B Ratio 3.33
  • Operating Margin 0.0%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -2.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.3%

Unavailable (4)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

1.8%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Dr. William L. BallhausPresident, CEO & Chairman57
Mr. David E. FarnsworthExecutive VP & CFO64
Mr. Stuart H. KupinskyExecutive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary57
Mr. Steven V. RatnerExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer49
Mr. Douglas D. MunroVP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Dr. William Conley Ph.D.Chief Technology Officer-
Mr. Ghassan AlakaChief Information Officer-
Mr. Tyler Hojo CFAVP of Investors Relations-
Mr. Krishna SinhaVice President of Strategy & Corporate Development-
Mr. Tod BrindlingerSenior Vice President of Operations-

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

5

Shareholder Rights Risk

7

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-08-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-05-05

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-18

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MRCY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for MRCY.