Back to rankings

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

Fair Value
Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

68

Price

$153.05

Market Cap

$3.95B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.14B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$224M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$239M

Total Equity

$747M

Total Liabilities

$245M

Current Ratio

2.82

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.35

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$180.16

Current Price

$153.05

Margin of Safety

+15.0%

Fair Value Range

$122.18 - $238.15

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$195.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$259.71
Earnings multiple (P/E):$110.83
Graham growth formula:$166.86
Earnings power value (EPV):$103.48
Justified P/B:$138.87
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$151.84
Mid-cycle earnings:$191.74
Revenue multiple:$51.60
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (8B / 1H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+6.05%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

18.35

ROE

28.9%

P/B Ratio

5.90

P/FCF

16.29

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

27.6%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

27.6%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

+19.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.30%
  • Price CAGR 9.93%
  • ROIC 27.6%
  • P/FCF 16.29
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 31.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.24
  • Share Dilution -4.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.90
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.9%
  • PEG Ratio 2.38
  • Net Margin Trend 19.6% vs 22.2%

Unavailable (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.24

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.2%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Brian E. MuellerChairman & CEO71
Dr. W. Stan MeyerChief Operating Officer64
Ms. Dilek MarshChief Information Officer51
Mr. Daniel E. Bachus CPAChief Financial Officer (Leave of Absence)55
Ms. Lori BrowningSenior VP, Controller, Chief Accounting Officer, Interim CFO & Interim Principal Financial Officer58
Ms. Sarah S. CollinsGeneral Counsel-

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

5

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-30

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-24

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for LOPE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for LOPE.