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Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT)

Overvalued
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

59

Price

$63.01

Market Cap

$16.42B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Alliant Energy owns two regulated utilities, Interstate Power and Light in Iowa and Wisconsin Power and Light in Wisconsin, that generate and deliver electricity and distribute natural gas to homes and businesses in the Midwest. It builds and operates power plants, transmission lines and gas pipelines within a territory where state regulators, not competitors, set the prices it can charge and the returns it can earn.

How it makes money

Customers pay metered rates for electricity and gas that regulators approve in advance through rate cases, designed to let Alliant recover its costs and earn a set return on the capital it invests in plants and wires. Growth therefore comes mainly from adding new rate base — power plants, grid upgrades, renewable projects — rather than from selling more volume to existing customers, whose usage regulators actively try to keep efficient.

Revenue by segment

Electric84.8%

Generation, transmission and retail sale of electricity to roughly a million customers across Iowa and Wisconsin.

Gas12%

Distribution and transportation of natural gas to roughly 435,000 residential and business customers.

Other and non-utility3.2%

Smaller regulated and non-utility activities that fall outside the core electric and gas businesses.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

Building a second set of power plants and wires to compete for the same customers would be prohibitively expensive, so Alliant effectively holds a monopoly within its service territory. That advantage is narrow rather than wide because regulators, not the market, decide how much profit the company is allowed to keep on the capital it deploys.

What drives demand

Defensive

Households and businesses need electricity and gas regardless of the economic cycle, so volumes are stable and driven mainly by weather rather than by consumer spending or industrial activity. The main swing factor is temperature: a mild winter or summer reduces heating and cooling demand and can dent a given year's results.

Key risks

  • Outcome of rate cases — Earnings growth depends on state regulators approving rate increases that let Alliant recover its investments and earn its allowed return; a less favorable or delayed decision slows growth directly.
  • Large, ongoing capital spending — The company has a multi-year plan of heavy investment in renewable generation and grid upgrades; higher interest rates or construction cost inflation raise the price of that program and pressure returns.
  • Weather dependence — Unusually mild seasons reduce heating and cooling demand and can lower revenue in a given period, independent of the underlying customer base.
  • Environmental and climate regulation — Evolving rules on emissions and the pace of the shift away from fossil generation create uncertainty about future compliance costs and the value of existing plants.

The case for

Buyers argue that a regulated monopoly with a clear, multi-year investment plan in renewables and grid modernization offers predictable earnings growth as new capital enters the rate base, with limited exposure to economic downturns.

The case against

Sellers fear that regulators will push back on the size or pace of rate increases needed to fund the capital plan, and that persistently higher interest rates raise financing costs faster than allowed returns can adjust.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 19, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 19.6Score: 53Market cap: $33.06B

The closest peer in Wisconsin: its We Energies and Wisconsin Public Service utilities serve regulated electric and gas customers in the same state as Alliant's WPL, and the two compete for the same large industrial and data-center load, for territory at municipal boundaries and in the MISO wholesale power market.

P/E: 19.3Score: 49Market cap: $43.45B

Through Northern States Power it runs regulated electric and gas utilities in western Wisconsin, Minnesota and the upper Midwest, bordering Alliant's Iowa and Wisconsin territories and selling into the same MISO wholesale market.

P/E: 17.8Score: 61Market cap: $2.55B

A smaller Wisconsin utility whose Madison-area electric and gas service territory is interleaved with Alliant's WPL, under the same state regulator and competing for the same growing customers in south-central Wisconsin.

P/E: 17.5Score: 61Market cap: $27.52B

A regulated electric and gas utility holding company in Missouri and Illinois with the same rate-regulated business model, competing with Alliant in the MISO wholesale energy and capacity market and for industrial customers siting in the Midwest.

P/E: 20.9Score: 56Market cap: $17.90B

A regulated Midwest electric utility of comparable size in Kansas and Missouri, selling into the same regional wholesale markets and courting the same large data-center and manufacturing load that Alliant is trying to attract to Iowa and Wisconsin.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$4.42B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$821M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$7.33B

Total Liabilities

$17.66B

Current Ratio

0.69

Interest Coverage

1.90

Debt/EBITDA

6.56

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Regulated utilityOvervalued

Fair Value

$50.93

Current Price

$63.01

Margin of Safety

-23.7%

Fair Value Range

$33.10 - $68.75

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$78.04
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$9.62
Earnings multiple (P/E):$56.53
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$37.09
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):$51.90
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (11B / 7H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+9.06%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

19.91

ROE

11.0%

P/B Ratio

2.20

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

85.8%

ROIC

3.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.5%

WACC

6.0%

ROIC − WACC

-2.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 5.33%
  • Gross Margin 85.8%
  • P/B Ratio 2.20
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 23.0%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 61% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.57
  • Share Dilution 0.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 18.6% vs 18.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (8)

  • EPS CAGR 1.09%
  • ROIC 3.5%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.2%
  • PEG Ratio 4.38

Unavailable (4)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.57

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.6%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Ms. Lisa M. BartonPresident, CEO & Director59
Mr. Robert J. Durian CPAExecutive VP & CFO54
Mr. Rajagopalan SundararajanExecutive VP & Chief Strategy Officer50
Mr. Antonio P. SmythExecutive Vice President of Power Generation & Gas Strategy48
Mr. Dylan M. SyseChief Accounting Officer & Controller39
Ms. Melissa A. KehoeVice President of Strategic Financial Planning & Investor Relations40
Ms. Amy L. CralamVP & General Counsel-
Ms. Aimee L. DavisVice President of Marketing, Communications & Customer Operations52
Ms. Amy E. BestSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Ms. Mayuri N. FarlingerPresident of Iowa Energy & VP of Energy Delivery42

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-20

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-31

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-21

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for LNT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for LNT.