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Humana Inc (HUM)

Fair Value
HealthcareHealthcare PlansUnited States

Fundamental

57

Price

$376.91

Market Cap

$46.79B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Humana Inc. provides medical and specialty insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Insurance and CenterWell. The Insurance segment offers individual Medicare Advantage products, including health insurance benefits, including wellness programs, chronic care management, and care coordination; individual Medicare stand-alone prescription drug products (PDP); group Medicare advantage and Medicare stand-alone PDP; Medicare supplements; specialty and ancillary insurance comprising dental, vision, life and disability; and administrative services to arrange health care services for active-duty and retired military personnel and dependents, as well as pharmacy benefit managers. Its CenterWell segment operates full-service, value-based senior focused primary care centers under the Conviva Senior Primary Care and CenterWell Senior Primary Care brands; a management services organization; CenterWell Home Health, a home health provider; and OneHome, which manages post-acute patient needs, as well as provides pharmacy and hospice solutions. The company was formerly known as Extendicare Inc. and changed its name to Humana Inc. in April 1974. Humana Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.6Score: 70Market cap: $336.61B

Its UnitedHealthcare arm is the largest Medicare Advantage insurer in the United States and bids against Humana plan-by-plan for the same senior enrollees, while its Optum clinics and pharmacy mirror Humana's CenterWell care-delivery model.

P/E: 22.6Score: 58Market cap: $112.36B

Through Aetna it is the third-largest Medicare Advantage insurer and also sells Medicare drug plans, Medicaid managed care and commercial coverage to the same customers Humana serves.

P/E: 15.7Score: 72Market cap: $85.57B

A national managed-care company competing with Humana for Medicare Advantage seniors and for state Medicaid contracts in overlapping markets.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: $30.89B

Competes head-on for government-sponsored members, bidding for the same state Medicaid contracts and selling Medicare Advantage and Part D plans to low-income and dual-eligible beneficiaries.

Kaiser Foundation Health Plan, Inc. (Kaiser Permanente)Not tracked

A non-profit integrated insurer-and-provider holding about 6% of Medicare Advantage enrollment, taking the same seniors in California and other western markets with the combined coverage-plus-clinics model Humana is building.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$137.20B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$1.13B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$375M

Total Equity

$17.66B

Total Liabilities

$31.17B

Current Ratio

1.77

Interest Coverage

3.68

Debt/EBITDA

4.11

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$400.66

Current Price

$376.91

Margin of Safety

+5.9%

Fair Value Range

$260.43 - $540.89

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$423.74
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$672.50
Earnings multiple (P/E):$269.43
Graham growth formula:$79.06
Earnings power value (EPV):$208.05
Justified P/B:$100.24
Dividend discount (Gordon):$86.93
P/FFO, funds from operations:$251.34
Mid-cycle earnings:$1106.82
Revenue multiple:$4738.19
Analyst Consensus:Buy (16B / 16H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+4.34%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

40.72

ROE

6.7%

P/B Ratio

2.47

P/FCF

36.02

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

5.7%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

5.7%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

-1.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 7.22%
  • ROIC 5.7%
  • P/B Ratio 2.47
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.63
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (10)

  • EPS CAGR 3.94%
  • P/FCF 36.02
  • Operating Margin 1.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 0.8% vs 1.4%

Unavailable (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.63

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-0.2%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. James A. Rechtin M.B.A.President, CEO & Director54
Ms. Celeste Marie MelletChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Japan A. MehtaChief Information Officer44
Ms. Michelle A. O'HaraChief Human Resources Officer49
Dr. Sanjay K. Shetty M.B.A., M.D.President of CenterWell51
Mr. John-Paul William FelterSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller42
Mr. Bobby MukundanSenior VP & CTO-
Ms. Lisa M. StonerVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Joseph C. VenturaChief Legal Officer48
Mr. Bruce Dale BroussardStrategic Advisor63

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

5

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-19

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-29

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-01

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HUM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/29/2026NEGATIVE
    Humana Lower on Profit Guidance; P&G Moves on Results | Stock Movers

    Humana Inc. is experiencing a significant downturn as the health insurance provider maintained its annual profit guidance despite a robust second quarter performance. While the company delivered strong operational results for the period, the decision to keep the full-year outlook unchanged suggests potential headwinds or conservatism that has unnerved investors. This lack of upward revision, even with a positive quarterly showing, signals a cautious stance that could impact future revenue streams and profitability, leading to a sell-off in its shares.

via Markets Gazette