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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG)

Fair Value
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

Fundamental

62

Price

$29.58

Market Cap

$1.81B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. It operates in two segments, Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), and Logistics. The ITS segment offers intermodal and dedicated trucking services, including freight transportation, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking services. The Logistics segment provides transportation management, freight brokerage, shipment optimization, load consolidation, mode selection, carrier management, load planning and execution, warehousing, fulfillment, cross-docking, and consolidation and final mile delivery services. It also provides trucking transportation services, including dry van, expedited, less-than-truckload, and refrigerated and flatbed services. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors, 3,200 employee drivers, 500 independent owner-operators, and 4,700 trailers; and owned approximately 50,000 dry and 53-foot containers, as well as 900 refrigerated 53-foot containers. It serves a range of industries, including retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 31.8Score: 79Market cap: $21.52B

The largest North American domestic intermodal operator, it bids for the same shippers as Hub Group across intermodal container moves, dedicated fleets and truck brokerage.

P/E: 28.2Score: 66Market cap: $17.08B

The largest US freight broker, it competes for the same truckload brokerage and managed-transportation contracts that make up Hub Group's Logistics segment.

Schneider National, Inc.SNDR

Schneider sells the same combination of rail-based intermodal, dedicated trucking and brokerage to large US manufacturers and retailers.

STG LogisticsNot tracked

Privately held, it became one of the largest US containerized drayage and rail-brokerage providers after buying XPO's intermodal division, competing directly for Hub Group's drayage and intermodal volumes.

RXO, Inc.RXO

An asset-light broker that also runs last-mile home delivery, it competes with Hub Group both in truck brokerage and in final-mile installation services.

Werner Enterprises, Inc.WERN

Werner bids against Hub Group for dedicated fleet contracts with retail and consumer-goods shippers, and complements them with its own brokerage and intermodal offering.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.73B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2025)

Net Income

$105M

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2025)

Free Cash Flow

$144M

Total Equity

$1.64B

Total Liabilities

$1.18B

Current Ratio

1.47

Interest Coverage

11.22

Debt/EBITDA

1.50

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$37.95

Current Price

$29.58

Margin of Safety

+22.1%

Fair Value Range

$24.67 - $51.23

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$38.58
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$86.23
Earnings multiple (P/E):$33.44
Graham growth formula:$16.81
Earnings power value (EPV):$16.63
Justified P/B:$8.48
Dividend discount (Gordon):$7.00
P/FFO, funds from operations:$127.16
Mid-cycle earnings:$77.16
Revenue multiple:$175.76
Analyst Consensus:Buy (10B / 8H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-1.69%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

17.10

ROE

6.3%

P/B Ratio

0.65

P/FCF

9.73

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

4.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

9.3%

ROIC − WACC

-4.6 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 9.73
  • P/B Ratio 0.65
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Analyst Consensus 53% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.53
  • Share Dilution -4.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 2.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (11)

  • EPS CAGR 0.46%
  • Price CAGR 3.68%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Operating Margin 3.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 6.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.7%
  • PEG Ratio 14.06

Unavailable (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.53

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.3%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Todd HeeterInterim CFO & Interim Treasurer52
Mr. Dennis MathewsChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Dhruv BansalExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer49
Mr. Garrett Anthony Holland CFASenior VP of Investor Relations-
Mr. Eric A. BraunEVP, Chief Legal Officer & Company Secretary-
Mr. Michael DalySenior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy-
Mr. Mike TaylorExecutive Vice President of Sales & Marketing-
Ms. Carmen SmithExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Matthew YeagerExecutive Vice President of Procurement-
Mr. David EshenowerExecutive Vice President of State Street Alpha Services-

Audit Risk

10

Board Risk

8

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2025-02-25

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2025-11-05

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-17

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HUBG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for HUBG.