Back to rankings

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT)

Overvalued
Consumer CyclicalLodgingUnited States

Fundamental

73

Price

$318.12

Market Cap

$72.08B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names. The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 36.8Score: 84Market cap: $91.66B

The world's largest hotel group and Hilton's closest rival, competing brand-for-brand from luxury to extended stay for the same travellers, the same hotel owners signing franchise and management contracts, and the same corporate accounts.

P/E: 191.0Score: 58Market cap: $0

Named by Hilton in its 10-K, Hyatt competes for the same upper-upscale and luxury guests and for the same group and conference business, with a loyalty programme aimed at the same frequent travellers.

P/E: 26.1Score: 65Market cap: $5.14B

The largest pure franchisor by hotel count, going head-to-head with Hilton's economy and midscale brands such as Spark and Hampton for roadside and small-town owners in the United States.

P/E: 14.5Score: 67Market cap: $4.54B

A franchising specialist in the economy and midscale segments whose Comfort and Country Inn & Suites brands compete directly with Hampton by Hilton and Home2 Suites for the same American franchisees and price-conscious travellers.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLCIHG

A franchising-led global group whose brands (Holiday Inn, Crowne Plaza, InterContinental) sit in the same segments as Hampton, DoubleTree and Waldorf Astoria, competing for the same owners and the same guests, especially in Europe and Greater China.

Accor S.A.AC

Europe's largest hotel group, competing with Hilton across the full price ladder in Europe, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, where it holds a stronger home-market position.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$12.48B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$1.58B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$2.03B

Total Equity

$-5.39B

Total Liabilities

$22.12B

Current Ratio

0.65

Interest Coverage

4.36

Debt/EBITDA

4.89

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$242.32

Current Price

$318.12

Margin of Safety

-31.3%

Fair Value Range

$157.51 - $327.13

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$353.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$153.49
Earnings multiple (P/E):$208.94
Graham growth formula:$111.03
Earnings power value (EPV):$94.80
Justified P/B:$47.23
Dividend discount (Gordon):$9.53
P/FFO, funds from operations:$116.16
Mid-cycle earnings:$121.50
Revenue multiple:$93.45
Analyst Consensus:Buy (21B / 12H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.79%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

46.71

ROE

-27.0%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

35.29

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

19.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

19.4%

WACC

9.4%

ROIC − WACC

+10.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 23.84%
  • Price CAGR 18.56%
  • ROIC 19.4%
  • Operating Margin 23.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 171.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.33
  • Share Dilution -4.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (6)

  • P/FCF 35.29
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 12.7% vs 13.8%

Unavailable (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.33

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.8%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Christopher J. NassettaPresident, CEO & Director62
Mr. Kevin J. JacobsExecutive VP & Chief Financial Officer53
Mr. Christian H. CharnauxExecutive VP & Chief Development Officer48
Ms. Laura A. FuentesExecutive VP, Chief Human Resources Officer & Head of Hilton Supply Management49
Mr. Christopher W. SilcockPresident of Global Brands and Commercial Services53
Mr. Misha MoylanSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer40
Mr. Charlie RuehrVice President of Corporate Finance & Investor Relations-
Ms. Caroline D. KrassExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary56
Mr. Frank R. PassananteSenior Vice President of Group Sales-
Mr. William FortierSenior Vice President of Development of Americas-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

7

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-11

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-28

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-28

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HLT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for HLT.