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First Horizon Corp (FHN)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

73

Price

$23.02

Market Cap

$10.99B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

First Horizon Corporation is a Tennessee bank holding company headquartered in Memphis, incorporated in 1968 and operating almost entirely through its subsidiary First Horizon Bank, founded in 1864. At 31 December 2025 the bank held $84 billion of total assets, $68 billion of deposits and $64 billion of loans and leases, spread over more than 450 business locations in 23 states; 412 of these are banking centres in the South, mostly in Tennessee (137), North Carolina (78), Florida (74) and Louisiana (55). It is primarily a business lender: commercial loans are 77% of the portfolio and consumer loans 23%, with commercial and industrial lending ($36 billion) the largest book, followed by commercial real estate ($14 billion) and consumer real estate ($14 billion). Alongside branch banking it runs wealth and trust management, retail brokerage, a fixed income division (FHN Financial), and mortgage banking.

How it makes money

Like any commercial bank, First Horizon earns most of its money from the spread between what it pays for deposits and what it charges on loans and securities. In fiscal 2025 net interest income was $2,622 million and noninterest income (fee income from wealth management, deposit service charges, fixed income sales and trading, card and mortgage banking) was $797 million, for consolidated revenue of $3,419 million. Deposits, at $67 billion at year-end, are the largest and cheapest funding source and most of them sit in the Commercial, Consumer & Wealth segment. Note that the company also reports a third, non-operating Corporate segment which absorbs shared-services costs, centralised funding and run-off businesses; it carried negative revenue of $103 million in 2025, which is why the two operating segments together add to slightly more than the consolidated total.

Revenue by segment

Commercial, Consumer & Wealth88.7%

The branch and relationship bank: traditional lending and deposit taking for commercial and consumer clients, mainly in the southern United States, plus asset-based lending, commercial real estate, equipment finance, energy banking, treasury management and wealth, trust and investment advisory services. It generated $3,033 million of revenue in 2025 ($2,569 million of net interest income and $464 million of fees) and holds most of the group's deposits.

Wholesale14.3%

Specialist businesses sold to financial and institutional counterparties rather than to local retail customers: mortgage warehouse lending (loans to mortgage companies), franchise finance, correspondent banking and mortgage, together with FHN Financial's fixed income sales, trading and underwriting, loan sales and derivative sales for institutional clients. It generated $489 million of revenue in 2025 ($233 million of net interest income and $256 million of fees), up from $424 million in 2024.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

A deposit franchise of $68 billion built on 412 southern banking centres does make customers somewhat sticky, and switching a business current account is a nuisance. But nothing here looks durable. The company's own risk factors open by saying it is subject to intense competition for clients from national and state banks, credit unions, brokers, mortgage companies and non-bank entrants, and that the nature of that competition is changing as technology lowers the cost of reaching depositors. It competes in the same southern markets as much larger banks, has no pricing power on either loans or deposits, and its fastest-growing unit — fixed income sales and trading — is a commoditised, cyclical business. Treating First Horizon as a company without a durable competitive advantage is the honest reading.

What drives demand

Cyclical

The company's own risk factors put it plainly: generally, in an economic downturn realised credit losses increase, demand for its products and services declines, and the credit quality of the loan portfolio declines. Loan demand follows business investment and real estate activity in the southern states where the book is concentrated; two of the mortgage-related businesses, origination and lending to mortgage companies, are described as highly sensitive to interest rates and rate cycles; and the fixed income division's revenue depends on market expectations about rates, so it swings with the monetary cycle rather than offsetting it. Deposits themselves can move fairly quickly with monetary policy. Little of this behaves defensively.

Key risks

  • Intense and changing competition — The filing states the company is subject to intense competition for clients from national, state and non-US banks, savings institutions, credit unions, consumer finance companies, mutual funds, insurers, securities firms, mortgage banks and hedge funds, some of which face a lighter regulatory burden. It competes on the same ground for talent and for capital in the equity and debt markets.
  • Concentration of the loan book — The company discloses that the composition of its loans increases its sensitivity to certain credit risks. About 25% of commercial and industrial loans are to the financial services industry and 11% to real estate and rental and leasing; within commercial real estate, multi-family is 33% and office 20%, two sectors the filing itself describes as having been under stress. On the consumer side, roughly 63% of the consumer real estate portfolio relates to clients in just three states — Florida, Tennessee and Texas — and about 2% of total loans are directly tied to oil and gas.
  • Interest rates and the shape of the yield curve — Because a significant part of the business is borrowing, lending and investing in financial instruments, the company is exposed to interest rate risk. It states that a flat or inverted yield curve may reduce its net interest margin and hurt both its lending and its fixed income businesses, and that market expectations about the direction of rates affect the demand for, and value of, its fixed income inventory. It also notes that as rates rise, borrower default risk generally rises with them.
  • Deposits, liquidity and funding costs — Liquidity is described as essential to the business model, and its loss or repricing as capable of materially affecting results. Deposit levels can move fairly quickly with monetary policy, and a loss of deposits or a shift in the deposit mix would increase funding costs. Continued access to Federal Home Loan Bank advances and the Federal Reserve discount window depends on policies set by federal agencies and ultimately by Congress, and a downgrade of the company's credit ratings would raise the cost of unsecured funding and could force additional collateral on derivative agreements.
  • Approaching the $100 billion regulatory threshold — Bank regulation is tiered by asset size and the company says it is close to reaching $100 billion, the next tier above it. Crossing that line would bring Category IV enhanced prudential standards and put it at risk of a liquidity coverage ratio requirement. The filing notes the compliance costs could be significant and are already being borne as it approaches the threshold, while acknowledging the standards themselves could change.
  • Fraud, cybersecurity and third-party dependencies — Fraud is described as a major and increasing operational risk for the company and for all banks. A cybersecurity breach is listed as a major type of operational risk that can cause significant damage and be hard to detect even after it occurs, with attempted breaches happening frequently and treated as an unavoidable part of doing business. The company also outsources certain bank functions to third-party providers whose own disruptions it may have limited control over.
  • Technological disruption of the industry — The filing says technological innovation continues to change financial services at a rapid pace, creating new competitive challenges from non-traditional, disruptive providers. Responding requires substantial and continuing investment in information technology, and the company states that to thrive it will need to adopt some of the attitudes of a technology company and shed traditional banking ones, while still meeting supervisory standards. New technologies are themselves subject to risks that could impair their effectiveness.

Customer concentration

The filing does not disclose what share of revenue comes from its largest clients, and for a bank serving hundreds of thousands of consumer and business accounts across 450-plus locations that figure would mean little. What it does disclose is concentration inside the loan book, which is where the real exposure sits: about 25% of commercial and industrial loans are to the financial services industry, 13% of that portfolio is loans to mortgage companies, and roughly 63% of the consumer real estate portfolio is in Florida, Tennessee and Texas alone. A downturn in one of those industries or states would hit many borrowers at once.

The case for

Buyers argue that the 2025 numbers show the post-merger bank working: net income available to common shareholders of $956 million, or $1.87 per share, against $1.36 the year before, with the company attributing the improvement to revenue strength and credit performance. They point to a deposit base of $67 billion funding a $64 billion loan book in Tennessee, Florida, Texas, North Carolina and Louisiana — states with population and business inflows — and to the Wholesale segment, whose revenue rose from $424 million in 2024 to $489 million in 2025 on fixed income and mortgage warehouse activity, as a fee engine that does not need more branches. They also read the approach to $100 billion of assets as evidence that scale is still coming, with the compliance spending already partly absorbed.

The case against

Sellers fear that this is a mid-sized regional lender with no durable advantage, competing for the same deposits and the same borrowers as far larger banks, and that its earnings are a leveraged bet on the credit cycle in a handful of southern states. They point to the concentrations the company itself discloses — a quarter of commercial and industrial loans to the financial services industry, 13% of that book lent to mortgage companies, a fifth of commercial real estate in office property and a third in multi-family, and 63% of consumer real estate in three states — and to the company's own statement that a downturn raises credit losses while demand falls. They also note that the margin depends on deposit costs the bank does not control, that deposit levels can shift quickly with monetary policy, and that crossing $100 billion of assets brings Category IV prudential standards and costs the company says are already being incurred.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 10.9Score: 66Market cap: $23.22B

First Horizon names Regions Bank first among its competitors: the two overlap branch-for-branch across Tennessee, Mississippi and the Gulf South, chasing the same retail deposits and the same middle-market commercial borrowers.

P/E: 11.6Score: 67Market cap: $14.15B

Pinnacle, also named in First Horizon's own filings, was built in Nashville on the same model — relationship bankers hired away from larger rivals to serve Southeastern business owners and professionals — and now competes for that clientele across an enlarged Southeast footprint.

P/E: 10.6Score: 64Market cap: $57.64B

Truist (the former BB&T, cited by First Horizon as its key Mid-Atlantic competitor) covers the Carolinas, Virginia and Tennessee with the same commercial, treasury-management and wealth offering, from a far larger balance sheet.

P/E: 14.2Score: 72Market cap: $5.78B

Hancock Whitney fights for the same Gulf South customers — Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle — in commercial lending, private banking and specialty segments such as healthcare and energy.

SouthState CorporationSSB

SouthState is a similarly sized Southeastern commercial bank competing for deposits and small- and mid-sized business loans in the overlapping Carolina, Georgia, Florida and Texas markets.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.53B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$1.05B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$595M

Total Equity

$8.85B

Total Liabilities

$74.73B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.51

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankFairly Valued

Fair Value

$28.01

Current Price

$23.02

Margin of Safety

+17.8%

Fair Value Range

$21.26 - $34.76

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$27.98
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$21.41
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$34.89
Dividend discount (Gordon):$17.45
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (11B / 13H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+2.60%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.07

ROE

11.1%

P/B Ratio

1.19

P/FCF

10.72

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

9.5%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 10.72
  • P/B Ratio 1.19
  • Operating Margin 38.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 11.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.00
  • Share Dilution -7.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 29.9% vs 26.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (6)

  • Price CAGR 2.03%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Analyst Consensus 46% Buy

Unavailable (6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.00

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-7.8%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. D. Bryan JordanChairman, President & CEO63
Ms. Hope DmuchowskiSenior EVP & CFO46
Ms. Tammy S. LoCascioSenior EVP & COO56
Mr. Anthony J. RestelSenior Executive VP & Chief Banking Officer55
Mr. Jeff L. FlemingExecutive VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller63
Mr. Mohan SankararamanExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Tyler CraftHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. T. Lang WisemanSenior Executive VP & General Counsel53
Ms. Elizabeth A. ArdoinSenior EVP & Chief of Communications Officer56
Ms. Erin PryorSenior Executive VP and Chief Marketing & Experience Officer-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-26

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-28

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for FHN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for FHN.