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Dow Inc (DOW)

Fair Value
Basic MaterialsChemicalsUnited States

Fundamental

42

Price

$27.54

Market Cap

$20.15B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment provides ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, and aromatics products; and other ethylene derivatives, such as polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber. The Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment offers polyurethanes, including propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and polyether polyols; aromatic isocyanates and fully formulated polyurethane systems; and chlor-alkali and vinyl comprising chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride, and vinyl chloride monomer; and construction chemicals consisting of cellulose ethers, redispersible latex powders, and acrylic emulsions, as well as coatings, adhesives, sealants, elastomers, and composites. The Performance Materials & Coatings segment provides architectural paints and coatings, and industrial coatings; and acrylics-based building blocks, silicon metals, siloxanes, and intermediates. The company also engages in the property and casualty insurance, as well as reinsurance business. The company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Midland, Michigan.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

BASF SEBFFAF
P/E: 7.5Score: 61Market cap: $46.25B

BASF competes with Dow for the same industrial and coatings customers in solvents, amines and surfactants, in polyurethane raw materials, and in acrylic binders for paints, with Europe as the main shared battleground.

P/E: 24.3Score: 72Market cap: $668.27B

Through its chemical arm, ExxonMobil produces ethylene, propylene and polyethylene from the same Gulf Coast and global cracker base, competing for the same packaging and specialty-plastics converters Dow supplies.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.LYB

Dow names LyondellBasell as a key competitor in almost every business it runs — ethylene and propylene, polyethylene and polyolefins, industrial solvents and glycols, and acrylic monomers — making it the rival that overlaps most closely across the whole portfolio.

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC, الشركة السعودية للصناعات الأساسية)2010

SABIC sells the same ethylene, polyethylene and ethylene-oxide derivatives to the same converters and industrial buyers, backed by low-cost Middle East feedstock that puts direct pressure on Dow's commodity grades.

INEOS Group Holdings S.A.Not tracked

INEOS is listed by Dow as a competitor in olefins, polyethylene, industrial solutions chemicals and polyurethane intermediates, selling to the same European and North American industrial customers.

Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLCNot tracked

A privately held joint venture of Chevron and Phillips 66, it is one of the few US Gulf Coast producers of ethylene and polyethylene at Dow's scale, chasing the same North American resin buyers.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$39.33B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$-2.67B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-1.45B

Total Equity

$16.01B

Total Liabilities

$41.02B

Current Ratio

1.85

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

4.93

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

CyclicalFairly Valued

Fair Value

$34.31

Current Price

$27.54

Margin of Safety

+19.7%

Fair Value Range

$32.60 - $36.03

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$34.31
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not enough data to compute it
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not applicable to this type of company
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (11B / 11H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+11.57%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-15.3%

P/B Ratio

1.30

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

6.4%

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

5.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (7)

  • P/B Ratio 1.30
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 31.6%
  • Share Dilution -13.7%

Failed (11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -8.66%
  • Gross Margin 6.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE -8.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 46% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -6.8% vs 0.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (9)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-13.7%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. James R. FitterlingExecutive Chair63
Ms. Karen S. CarterCEO & Director54
Mr. Jeffrey L. Tate CPAChief Financial Officer55
Ms. Amy E. Wilson J.D.General Counsel54
Mr. John Maurice SampsonSenior Vice President of Operations, Manufacturing & Engineering64
Dr. Andre ArgentonChief Technology & Sustainability Officer50
Ms. Debra BaulerChief Information & Digital Officer-
Mr. Andrew RikerVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Lauren JamesSenior Vice President of Corporate Development-
Ms. Lisa BryantChief Human Resources Officer49

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-03

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-24

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-23

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DOW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/30/2026POSITIVE
    New Dow CEO drives ‘transformation’ back to profitability amid oil market upheaval

    Dow Inc. is undergoing a significant transformation under new CEO Karen Carter, aiming to return to profitability amidst a volatile oil market. The strategy emphasizes leveraging U.S. domestic operations for global turnaround, coupled with aggressive cost-cutting and restructuring initiatives. This focus on operational efficiency and strategic realignment is designed to navigate market challenges and enhance shareholder value. Investors will be watching closely for execution of these plans and their impact on Dow's financial performance and market position in the coming quarters.

  • 7/23/2026POSITIVE
    Dow Says Iran War Could Boost Guidance as Supply Chain Shielded

    Dow Inc. anticipates that ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could lead to increased prices for plastics and packaging materials. The company stated that its supply chain remains shielded, suggesting that these higher selling prices would not be offset by increased input costs. This scenario is expected to boost Dow's third-quarter guidance, potentially leading to higher profit margins and increased shareholder value. Investors will be watching for confirmation of this pricing power and its sustained impact on earnings.

  • 5/14/2026NEUTRAL
    Dow Is Hardly Moving Anything Through Hormuz, CEO Says

    Dow Inc. is experiencing minimal product movement through the Strait of Hormuz, as stated by CEO Jim Fitterling. The company anticipates a lengthy recovery period of up to 275 days once the waterway reopens, indicating potential supply chain disruptions and increased logistical costs. While the direct impact on Dow's current operations is described as 'hardly moving anything,' the prolonged disruption suggests a cautious outlook for its global logistics and potentially its European or Middle Eastern market access. Investors should monitor the company's ability to reroute or mitigate these supply chain challenges.

  • 4/23/2026NEGATIVE
    Dow CEO Says Petrochemical Supply Disruptions to Persist in 2026

    Dow Inc., a major petrochemical producer, anticipates that supply chain disruptions stemming from geopolitical tensions in Iran will continue through the end of 2026. CEO Jim Fitterling indicated that these persistent issues will impact the availability and potentially the price of key petrochemical products. This outlook suggests ongoing challenges for industries reliant on these materials, potentially affecting manufacturing costs and consumer goods prices. Investors should monitor Dow's ability to navigate these supply constraints and their impact on the company's profitability and market share.

  • 4/23/2026POSITIVE
    Dow Rises as Higher Prices Help Revenue Guidance Beat Estimates

    Dow Inc. shares experienced an uptick following the company's announcement of a stronger-than-anticipated revenue forecast. This positive outlook is attributed to elevated product prices, a direct consequence of supply chain disruptions stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The company's ability to leverage these market conditions to improve its revenue guidance suggests resilience and effective strategic pricing, which is a favorable signal for investors.

  • 4/14/2026NEUTRAL
    Dow’s CEO pick elevates a seasoned insider at a pivotal moment for the chemical giant

    Dow Inc. has announced that Karen Carter will take over as Chief Executive Officer from Jim Fitterling, effective July 1. Carter, a seasoned insider, is expected to guide the chemical giant through a critical phase. The transition marks a significant leadership change for the company, which is navigating evolving market dynamics and strategic priorities in the chemical industry. Investors will be watching closely to see how Carter's leadership impacts Dow's future direction and performance.

  • 4/14/2026POSITIVE
    Dow, Exxon and Rivals Are Raising Plastic Prices as Iran War Convulses Oil Market

    Dow Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corp. are implementing price increases for plastics, a move driven by supply chain disruptions stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The conflict involving Iran has led to significant volatility in the oil market, directly impacting the cost of petrochemical feedstocks essential for plastic production. This price hike aims to offset rising raw material costs and maintain profit margins for these chemical giants. Investors may view this as a sign of pricing power in the sector, potentially benefiting companies that can pass on increased expenses.

  • 3/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Dow CEO warns petrochemical shortage from Iran war could fuel inflation for rest of the year

    Dow Inc. CEO Jim Fitterling has warned that a potential petrochemical shortage stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict could significantly fuel inflation for the remainder of the year. Fitterling estimates that resolving these supply chain disruptions could take as long as 275 days. This outlook suggests sustained upward pressure on chemical prices, impacting downstream industries and consumer goods. Investors should monitor the petrochemical supply chain closely, as prolonged shortages could lead to margin compression for manufacturers and higher costs for consumers, potentially dampening economic growth.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Scientists are pushing back on warnings that microplastics damage your health, saying people are just obese and calling some studies ‘a joke’

    An emerging debate in the scientific community is challenging the purported dangers of microplastics to human health. Some researchers argue that previous studies may be flawed by 'false positives,' where human fat particles were mistakenly identified as microplastics, thus exaggerating the risks. This scientific counter-narrative could have significant implications for the chemical and packaging industries. For leading companies like Dow Inc., one of the world's largest plastics producers, a downscaling of the health alarm would translate into reduced regulatory and legal risk. Investors are closely watching this development, as a shift in scientific consensus could ease the pressure on a sector often at the center of environmental criticism, improving its long-term outlook.

via Markets Gazette