Carlisle Companies Inc (CSL)
UndervaluedFundamental
71
Price
$322.17
Market Cap
$12.96B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Carlisle Companies is a US manufacturer of building envelope products — the materials that keep water, air and heat from passing through the outside shell of a building. After selling its interconnect and fluid-technology businesses, it is now a pure-play building products company organized in two segments: Carlisle Construction Materials, which makes commercial roofing systems (EPDM, TPO and PVC single-ply membranes, polyiso insulation, metal roofing and wall panels), and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, which makes waterproofing, air and vapor barriers, roofing underlayments, spray polyurethane foam and related products for commercial and residential buildings. Manufacturing is concentrated in the United States, with additional plants in Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Romania.
How it makes money
Carlisle sells physical products at a unit price: it manufactures membranes, insulation boards, sealants and accessories and sells them through a network of authorized sales representatives and distributors in North America and Europe, and through distribution and retail outlets for the weatherproofing business. There is no subscription or recurring-fee component — revenue is recognized when the product ships. The recurring element comes from the building stock itself: roofs wear out, so replacement demand repeats on a multi-decade cycle. Profitability turns on two things the filing highlights: the spread between selling prices and raw material costs (petroleum-based inputs are roughly 66% of cost of goods sold) and the mix of higher-margin roofing systems sold with warranties and accessories rather than bare commodity membrane.
Revenue by segment
Single-ply commercial roofing systems — EPDM, TPO and PVC membrane, polyiso insulation, engineered metal roofing and wall panels — sold with warranties to commercial building owners through authorized distributors and roofing contractors in North America and Europe. Roughly 70% of the commercial roofing business is re-roofing rather than new construction.
Building envelope products below and around the roof line: waterproofing and moisture protection, roofing underlayments, air and vapor barriers, spray polyurethane foam, expanded polystyrene insulation and engineered HVAC products, for both commercial and residential buildings, sold through distribution and retail outlets in North America.
Competitive moat
Scale · NarrowCarlisle is one of a small group of manufacturers with enough plant capacity and geographic coverage to supply large commercial roofing jobs across North America, and it is vertically integrated into polyiso insulation, which lets it sell a complete system rather than a component. The system is sold with a long-dated warranty honoured only when installed by an authorized contractor, which ties both the distributor and the roofing crew to the brand. The advantage is real but limited: the filing itself names several competitors and states that competition creates pricing pressure on operating margins, and a roofing membrane remains a substitutable product once a building owner is willing to requalify a supplier.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand sits between defensive and cyclical, and the split inside the business explains why. Roughly 70% of the commercial roofing business is re-roofing: a leaking roof is replaced whether or not the economy is good, and the company points out that over 70% of North America's non-residential building stock is more than 25 years old, which keeps a base level of replacement work flowing. The remaining new-construction share behaves like a classic construction cycle and is tied to interest rates, credit availability and non-residential starts — in 2025 the company described continued headwinds in new construction across both residential and non-residential markets while re-roofing stabilized the business. Energy-efficiency codes and retrofit incentives add a structural, slower-moving driver on top.
Key risks
- Dependence on construction markets and on repair and replacement activity — The company states that most of its revenues come from construction end markets, and that a decline in commercial or residential construction — or specifically in repair and replacement activity — would materially affect demand for its products.
- Concentration in a small number of large customers — CCM's two largest customers represented 33% of consolidated revenues in 2025. The company states that losing either of them, or facing pricing pressure from these key distributors, could have a material adverse effect on consolidated revenues and operating income.
- Raw material cost volatility — Petroleum-based products represent approximately 66% of cost of goods sold. The company warns that increases in these input costs may not be recovered through price increases to customers.
- Competition and pricing pressure — The company operates against multiple competitors in each of its product lines and discloses that competitive pricing pressure can compress operating margins.
- Reliance on acquisitions and on integrating them — Growth depends in part on acquiring businesses. The company states that failure to integrate an acquisition, or underperformance against the assumptions behind it, could lead to a material impairment of goodwill and intangible assets.
- Disruption at a limited number of production facilities — Production is concentrated in a limited number of locations; the company discloses that natural disasters, equipment failure or a cyberattack affecting one of them could severely disrupt operations.
- Environmental, climate and product liability exposure — The company is subject to stringent environmental regulation and possible liabilities from historical operations, notes that greenhouse gas regulation could raise compliance costs, and discloses that defects in building products could trigger lawsuits for which insurance may be inadequate.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 33% of revenue
The filing discloses that CCM's two largest customers together represented 33% of the Company's consolidated revenues in 2025, and warns that losing either one could materially hurt revenues and operating income. These are distributors rather than end users: the buildings that ultimately receive the roof are many and unrelated, but the route to them passes through very few intermediaries, which is where the bargaining power sits. The filing does not disclose the split between the two, nor a figure for the top five or top ten customers.
The case for
Buyers argue that Carlisle has become a focused, high-margin building envelope manufacturer after shedding its aerospace and fluid-technology businesses, and that the roofing business it kept is the best part of the old conglomerate. They point to the replacement nature of the demand — about 70% of commercial roofing is re-roofing, on a building stock where more than 70% of non-residential square footage is over 25 years old — as a floor under volumes that does not depend on new construction recovering. They note that CCM earned roughly a quarter of its revenue as segment operating income in 2025 even in a down year for construction, that energy-efficiency codes push owners toward the insulated systems Carlisle sells, and that the company generates enough cash to keep buying back stock and acquiring adjacent weatherproofing businesses. Their view is that when new non-residential and residential construction stops falling, the operating leverage on an already-built manufacturing base shows up quickly.
The case against
Sellers fear that the 2025 numbers show the limits of the story: revenue was essentially flat, operating income fell about 12% to $1,002.5 million and the operating margin slipped from 22.8% to 20.0%, while the weatherproofing segment earned only $101.9 million of operating income on $1,298.2 million of revenue. They point to the input side — petroleum-based products are roughly 66% of cost of goods sold, and the company itself warns those increases may not be passed through — and to the customer side, where two distributors control 33% of consolidated revenue and can press on price. They also note that the company has narrowed itself to a single end market: with almost all revenue tied to construction, there is no longer a second business to offset a building downturn, and the growth plan leans on acquisitions, which the filing flags as a source of potential goodwill impairment if they underperform.
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Its Tremco unit sells commercial roofing systems, sealants, air barriers and waterproofing to building owners and architects, overlapping squarely with Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies.
Its Elevate brand sells the same TPO, EPDM and polyiso insulation systems for North American commercial low-slope roofs, through the same roofing contractors and distributors Carlisle sells to.
GAF's commercial division offers single-ply membranes, cover boards and polyiso insulation in direct competition with Carlisle Construction Materials on U.S. commercial roofing projects; it is privately held by Standard Industries.
A wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary whose roofing arm makes TPO, PVC, EPDM membranes and polyiso insulation for the same commercial building-envelope specifications Carlisle bids on.
Through Sarnafil and Sikaplan it is the reference supplier of PVC and TPO single-ply membranes for commercial roofs and waterproofing, competing with Carlisle in North America and across Europe.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.10B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$724M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$971M
Total Equity
$1.80B
Total Liabilities
$4.47B
Current Ratio
2.60
Interest Coverage
9.71
Debt/EBITDA
2.41
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$639.15
Current Price
$322.17
Margin of Safety
+49.6%
Fair Value Range
$415.45 - $862.86
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
18.47
ROE
41.3%
P/B Ratio
7.91
P/FCF
14.76
Gross Margin
35.3%
ROIC
15.0%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
15.0%
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
+7.3 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 18.84%
- Price CAGR 11.76%
- ROIC 15.0%
- Gross Margin 35.3%
- P/FCF 14.76
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 19.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 41.1%
- Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 6.9%
- PEG Ratio 0.73
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.39
- Share Dilution -8.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (6)
- P/B Ratio 7.91
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.4%
- Net Margin Trend 14.2% vs 16.1%
Unavailable (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. D. Christian Koch | Chairman, President & CEO | 60 |
| Mr. Kevin P. Zdimal | VP & CFO | 55 |
| Mr. Frank J. Ready | President of Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies | 63 |
| Mr. Andrew C. Easton | VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 38 |
| Mr. Mehul S. Patel | Vice President of Investor Relations | 46 |
| Mr. Christopher Burke Gaskill J.D. | VP & General Counsel | 43 |
| Ms. Susan Wallace | VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 60 |
| Ms. Kelly P. Kamienski | Vice President of Finance of Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies | 42 |
| Mr. Stephen P. Aldrich | Chief Financial Officer for Carlisle Construction Materials | 44 |
| Mr. David W. Smith | Vice President of Sustainability & Community Relations | 62 |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
4
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-13
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-10
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CSL, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/10/2026NEGATIVECSL Cuts Profit Outlook, Flags $5 Billion in New Impairments
CSL Limited has significantly lowered its full-year profit forecast and announced an additional $5 billion in impairments. The company cited a review by its interim chief executive, indicating that a turnaround will require more time than previously anticipated. This downward revision suggests potential operational challenges and a longer path to recovery, which could impact investor sentiment and the company's valuation in the short to medium term.
via Markets Gazette