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Celestica Inc. (CLS)

Fair Value
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsCanada

Fundamental

70

Price

$361.43

Market Cap

$47.11B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Celestica builds electronic hardware that other companies designed but do not want to manufacture themselves: servers and networking gear for cloud computing customers, plus aerospace, industrial and healthcare electronics. It owns the factories, buys the components, assembles and tests the finished product, then ships it under the customer's brand. Its growth in recent years has come almost entirely from hyperscale cloud and networking hardware for the small number of companies building today's AI data centres.

How it makes money

Celestica is paid for manufacturing services: it earns revenue on the hardware it ships, with margins coming from efficient production and component sourcing rather than from owning any proprietary technology in the product itself. Because it depends on a handful of very large customers for design wins and production volume, results move sharply with those customers' capital-spending decisions rather than with broad consumer demand.

Revenue by segment

Connectivity and Cloud Solutions74%

Servers, storage and networking hardware built mainly for hyperscale cloud providers and communications equipment makers.

Advanced Technology Solutions26%

Electronics manufacturing for aerospace and defence, industrial equipment, healthtech and capital equipment customers.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

Contract electronics manufacturing is a competitive, price-driven industry with several large players capable of building similar hardware; Celestica itself names aggressive pricing dynamics and numerous competitors as an ongoing pressure. Its edge comes from operational execution and deep relationships with a few large customers rather than from a durable structural advantage a rival cannot copy.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Orders follow the capital-spending cycles of a small number of very large technology and networking customers, which can ramp production up or down quickly as their own end-market demand shifts. A slowdown in cloud data-centre build-out or a program cancellation at a top customer would show up in Celestica's results almost immediately.

Key risks

  • Customer program cancellation — Customers may change or cancel programs at any time based on shifting end-market demand or their own products' success, and Celestica has little control over that decision.
  • Customer concentration — A significant reduction in, or the loss of, revenue from one of the largest customers could have a material adverse effect on results, financial position and cash flows.
  • Intense industry competition — The electronics manufacturing services and ODM industry has numerous competitors and aggressive pricing dynamics, which pressures margins and can shift business away from Celestica on short notice.
  • Dependence on customers' own success — Celestica's results are tied to how well its customers' end products sell and to rapid technology change in their markets, factors entirely outside its control.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 58% of revenue

In 2025 three customers, all within the Connectivity and Cloud Solutions segment, individually accounted for 10% or more of revenue — 32%, 14% and 12% respectively — and the ten largest customers together made up 79% of revenue.

The case for

Buyers argue that Celestica has become a critical, hard-to-replace manufacturing partner for the handful of companies building AI data-centre infrastructure, and that CCS segment revenue growth of 42% in 2025 shows real share gains rather than a one-off spike.

The case against

Sellers fear that with three customers alone worth 58% of revenue, a single program loss or a pause in one hyperscaler's data-centre spending could sharply cut results, and that the underlying manufacturing business remains a low-margin, highly competitive trade with little pricing power of its own.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 36.0Score: 73Market cap: $33.42B

Jabil bids for the same electronics manufacturing and design contracts as Celestica across cloud/data-center hardware, healthcare, industrial and capital equipment customers.

P/E: 42.5Score: 67Market cap: $41.52B

Flex is a comparable global contract manufacturer that has pushed hard into data-center power, cooling and server assembly, the same hyperscaler spending Celestica's CCS segment depends on.

P/E: 38.4Score: 71Market cap: $11.52B

Sanmina competes for the same high-complexity, lower-volume programs in communications, optical, industrial, medical and defense electronics that make up much of Celestica's mix.

P/E: 38.5Score: 73Market cap: $6.95B

Plexus pursues the same low-volume, highly regulated design-and-build customers in healthcare, industrial and aerospace/defense that Celestica courts with its ATS business.

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. / Foxconn (鴻海精密工業股份有限公司)Not tracked

Foxconn is the largest contract manufacturer of AI servers and networking hardware and competes head-on with Celestica for hyperscaler and cloud-provider orders.

Benchmark Electronics, Inc.BHE

Benchmark targets the same engineering-led manufacturing work in aerospace and defense, medical, semiconductor capital equipment and industrial markets served by Celestica's ATS segment.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$15.59B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$1.12B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$458M

Total Equity

$2.22B

Total Liabilities

$5.00B

Current Ratio

1.23

Interest Coverage

22.20

Debt/EBITDA

0.81

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$346.15

Current Price

$361.43

Margin of Safety

-4.4%

Fair Value Range

$224.99 - $467.30

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$471.20
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$223.65
Earnings multiple (P/E):$203.43
Graham growth formula:$496.27
Earnings power value (EPV):$77.61
Justified P/B:$97.74
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$140.29
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$685.00
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (12B / 1H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+9.47%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

37.65

ROE

37.6%

P/B Ratio

16.76

P/FCF

80.12

Gross Margin

12.0%

ROIC

30.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

30.0%

WACC

11.9%

ROIC − WACC

+18.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 69.90%
  • Price CAGR 40.77%
  • ROIC 30.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 50.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 16.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 92% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.3%
  • PEG Ratio 0.57
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.02
  • Share Dilution -1.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 7.2% vs 5.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (6)

  • Gross Margin 12.0%
  • P/FCF 80.12
  • P/B Ratio 16.76
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.02

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.9%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Robert Andrew MionisCEO & Chair of the Board62
Mr. Yann Louis EtienvreChief Operations Officer51
Mr. Jason PhillipsAdvisor50
Mr. Todd C. CooperPresident of Advanced Technology Solutions55
Mr. Matthew Pallotta C.A., CPA, M.B.A.Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Douglas M. ParkerChief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary54
Mr. Craig ObergVice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development-
Ms. Leila Wong C.M.A., CPAChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Gavin CatoHead & CTO of Hardware Platform Solutions57
Mr. Steven DorwartPresident of Connectivity & Cloud Solutions-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-27

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-27

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-11

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CLS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 21h agoPOSITIVE
    Wall Street may be sleeping on this networking stock tied to Google and OpenAI

    Bernstein highlights Celestica Inc. as a key beneficiary of a critical bottleneck in data center networking. The firm suggests Wall Street is underestimating the stock's potential, driven by its ties to major AI players like Google and OpenAI. This positioning indicates strong demand for Celestica's advanced networking solutions, crucial for the expanding AI infrastructure. Investors should monitor Celestica's capacity expansion and partnerships as indicators of continued growth in this high-demand sector.

  • 8/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Il titolo Celestica è sceso a un supporto cruciale: cosa succederà alle azioni?

    Celestica Inc. (CLS) has entered a bear market, plummeting nearly 40% from its year-to-date high to C$407. This sharp decline follows the company's earnings report and a significant dilutive operation. Technical analysis indicates a strong downtrend, with the stock falling below the crucial $450 support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from 76 to 40, signaling further potential downside. Investors are closely watching AI-related growth prospects, but the immediate outlook remains bearish due to these factors.

  • 8/5/2026POSITIVE
    Celestica Joins Data Center Funding Rush With $3 Billion Deal

    Celestica Inc. is set to raise $3 billion through a new share offering, a strategic move to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for data center infrastructure driven by the artificial intelligence boom. This significant capital infusion positions Celestica to expand its capacity and services, catering to the increasing needs of AI development. The move signals strong growth prospects and investor confidence in the company's ability to leverage the AI revolution, potentially leading to increased market share and profitability. Investors may see this as a positive development, indicating proactive management and a clear path to capitalize on a high-growth sector.

  • 8/5/2026NEUTRAL
    Celestica’s $3 Billion Deal Joins Data Center Funding Rush

    Celestica Inc. is planning to raise $3 billion through a new share offering, participating in the significant capital influx directed towards data center expansion. This move is driven by the escalating demand for infrastructure to support the burgeoning artificial intelligence sector. While the capital raise itself is a neutral event, the underlying driver of AI-driven data center growth suggests potential future demand for Celestica's services. Investors will monitor how effectively Celestica deploys this capital and the competitive landscape for data center solutions.

via Markets Gazette